BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Fresno St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 52 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (7-2) Overall: (10-4) Overall Strength = 158.64
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Home W 169.57 66 0 1B 107 ( 1- 10) Incarnate Word 11.22 * 54.78
2 09/09/2017 Away L 155.81 10 41 1A 8 ( 13- 1) Alabama -2.55 -28.45
3 09/16/2017 Away L 148.60 16 48 1A 9 ( 10- 3) Washington -9.75 -22.25
4 09/30/2017 Home W * 161.74 41 21 1A 95 ( 3- 9) Nevada 3.39 16.61
5 10/07/2017 Away W * 143.73 27 10 1A 129 ( 2- 11) San Jose St -14.62 * 31.62
6 10/14/2017 Home W * 173.41 38 0 1A 112 ( 3- 9) New Mexico 15.06 22.94
7 10/21/2017 Away W * 185.14 27 3 1A 54 ( 10- 3) San Diego St 26.79 -2.79
8 10/28/2017 Home L * 130.24 16 26 1A 103 ( 5- 7) UNLV -28.12 18.12
9 11/04/2017 Home W 146.90 20 13 1A 101 ( 4- 9) Brigham Young -11.45 18.45
10 11/11/2017 Away W * 147.56 31 21 1A 116 ( 3- 9) Hawaii -10.79 20.79
11 11/18/2017 Away W * 159.50 13 7 1A 72 ( 8- 5) Wyoming 1.15 4.85
12 11/25/2017 Home W * 170.57 28 17 1A 43 ( 11- 3) Boise St 12.22 -1.22
13 12/02/2017 Away L * 161.26 14 17 1A 43 ( 11- 3) Boise St 2.91 -5.91
14 12/24/2017 Neutral W 162.89 33 27 1A 59 ( 7- 5) Houston 4.54 1.46
Averages 158.35 27.1 17.9
Best game: 185.14 = 24 point win over San Diego St
Worst game: 130.24 = 10 point loss to UNLV
Team stdev: 14.18